Here’s the updated bracket for January 27th following this weekend’s slate of games. Let’s take a quick look at some stock up/stock down since last Monday before the bracket is revealed.
- Stock Up:
- Michigan – The Wolverines had themselves another week. Wow. They beat Iowa at home on Wednesday and then went into East Lansing on Saturday night in primetime to hand Michigan State their first Big Ten loss of the season. I know Branden Dawson and Adreian Payne were both out for Sparty, but that’s still a huge road win for Michigan to put them atop the Big Ten all alone. They climb up to a 3-seed this week.
- Creighton – The Bluejays climb from a 6-seed up to the 4-line in this week’s bracket after their wildly impressive win last Monday at Villanova followed up by a solid home win against Georgetown. The computers love Creighton, so a 4-seed might actually end up being a bit low for them.
- Wichita State – I no longer see a reasonable reason for keeping the Shockers off of the 1-line. They’re undefeated and are destroying teams in their league. Their best comparison is the St. Joseph’s team from 2004, and that team finished the regular season undefeated and received a 1-seed. If Wichita State goes undefeated through the Missouri Valley (which seems more and more likely), there’s no way they’re not a 1-seed.
- Stock Down:
- Colorado – Not only is Colorado without their best player in Spencer Dinwiddie, but they cannot find a win right now either, after losing to both Arizona and Arizona State this week. The Buffs have lost 4 of their last 5. That’s not a good forecast for March, especially once the committee factors in Dinwiddie’s injury. I have them as one of the First Four right now.
- Dayton – I had the Flyers in my bracket last Monday as a 11-seed. Maybe that was a mistake on my part, and I was giving them far too much credit. I have them completely out of the bracket this week, and they’re not even a member of the First 4 Out. They’ve lost 3 straight and 4 of their last 5, including a double-digit loss at 11-10 Rhode Island on Saturday. The Flyers currently sit at 1-4 in the A-10, and I have to imagine this is pretty disappointing for Dayton fans, especially after they had a strong non-conference effort this season.
- Baylor – So Baylor is really giving the Scott Drew haters a lot of ammunition right now. They’ve lost 4 straight and are 1-5 in the Big 12 after possessing a 12-1 record heading into conference play. The 14-point loss at home on Saturday to Texas was a real killer. Isaiah Austin, Cory Jefferson, and Kenny Chery combined for 20 points in that defeat. Those three are going to need to play better to navigate Baylor out of the Last 4 In, which is where I have them right now. Having them in the tournament at all right now might be a little too friendly. We’ll see if I didn’t jump off the wagon soon enough this week when they host West Virginia and travel to Stillwater to face Oklahoma State. If they drop both of those, say hello to the NIT bracket projections.
Alright, no more waiting. Here is the bracket. See below for Last 4 In, First 4 Out, and the list of multi-bid conferences.
|West – Anaheim||East – New York|
|1) Arizona||1) Syracuse|
|16) Robert Morris||16) Stony Brook/UNC-Asheville|
|8) Kansas State||8) Xavier|
|9) Florida State||9) Texas|
|5) Louisville||5) Pittsburgh|
|12) Baylor/Arizona State||12) Green Bay|
|4) Iowa||4) Creighton|
|13) Toledo||13) Belmont|
|6) Ohio State||6) Oklahoma|
|11) Providence||11) Tennessee|
|3) San Diego State||3) Wisconsin|
|14) Manhattan||14) New Mexico State|
|7) Gonzaga||7) VCU|
|10) New Mexico||10) Missouri|
|2) Oklahoma State||2) Villanova|
|15) Mercer||15) Davidson|
|South – Memphis||Midwest – Indianapolis|
|St. Louis||St. Louis|
|1) Kansas||1) Wichita State|
|16) North Carolina Central/Southern||16) Northern Colorado|
|8) Minnesota||8) UConn|
|9) George Washington||9) California|
|5) Duke||5) UMass|
|12) Stanford||12) Louisiana Tech/Colorado|
|4) Cincinnati||4) Kentucky|
|13) UC-Santa Barbara||13) Stephen F. Austin|
|6) St. Louis||6) Memphis|
|11) Southern Miss||11) Oregon|
|3) Michigan||3) Iowa State|
|14) Delaware||14) North Dakota State|
|7) Virginia||7) UCLA|
|10) Harvard||10) SMU|
|2) Florida||2) Michigan State|
|15) Georgia State||15) American|
- Last 4 IN: Louisiana Tech, Baylor, Colorado, Arizona State
- First 4 OUT: North Carolina, Arkansas, Indiana, Boise State
Breakdown by Conference:
- Big 12: 7
- Pac-12: 7
- Big Ten: 6
- ACC: 5
- AAC: 5
- Big East: 4
- SEC: 4
- A-10: 4
- Mountain West: 2
- Conference USA: 2
Once again, check out The Bracket Matrix for looks all around the web at other bracket projections.